The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto FC II 45.8%
Draw 23.9%
Columbus Crew 2 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
25.5%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
25.1%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toronto FC II's performance.
Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Columbus Crew 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toronto FC II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Columbus Crew 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toronto FC II - Columbus Crew 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. De Rosario A. (G) 72. Stampatori D. 75. Fisher R. 89. Mikina G. 96. Chukwu R. 58. Stojadinovic M. 82. Boneau B. (C) 86. Salaou A. 79. Bank F. 64. Nolan J. 93. Dixon D.
70. Abbott K. (G) 36. Heffess I. 63. Di Noto G. 68. Lloyd Z. 42. Adu-Gyamfi B. 51. De Libera G. 40. Chirinos J. 22. Brown T. 64. Taylor O. 46. Adams C. 31. Gbamble K. (C)
Substitutes
91. Barrow D. 69. Blyth T. 65. Campbell-Dennis R. 74. Costabile L. 87. Dawson L. 98. Kapor S. 84. Khodri E. 80. Nakhly Z. (G) 66. Nue-Brito D.
72. Bonos J. 71. Danjaji J. 62. Ewing I. 84. Forfor P. 75. Johnson M. 33. Nyeman M. 80. Stevanovic C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Boneau B. ⚽, Bank F. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Stampatori D. ⚽, Stojadinovic M. (A),
31', 3 - 0, Dixon D. ⚽, Bank F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Brown T. ↓, Forfor P. ↑,
57', Taylor O. ↓, Ewing I. ↑,
57', Di Noto G. ↓, Nyeman M. ↑,
58', Salaou A. 🟨,
63', De Rosario A. 🟨,
65', 3 - 1, Adams C. ⚽, Gbamble K. (A),
71', Nolan J. ↓, Khodri E. ↑,
78', Adu-Gyamfi B. ↓, Danjaji J. ↑,
80', Chukwu R. ↓, Costabile L. ↑,
80', Dixon D. ↓, Dawson L. ↑,
84', Chirinos J. 🟥,
89', 3 - 2, Gbamble K. (Penalty Awarded),
90', 4 - 2, Costabile L. ⚽,
90+3', Stampatori D. ↓, Campbell-Dennis R. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2.
Recent form of Toronto II has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Columbus Crew 2 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1.5:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto II won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
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De Rosario A. (G) 
Fisher R. 
Salaou A. 
Nolan J. 
Blyth T. 
Costabile L. 
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