Match Info

Date: 29 May 2020, Friday


	Torpedo-BelAZ		Smolevichi

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.9
	1.9	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	1.94	3.46	3.95
	1.83	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.92	3.62	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.64)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	3.87 ↓ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo-BelAZ
49%

Draw
27.1%

Smolevichi
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.8%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torpedo-BelAZ's form might have worsened.

Smolevichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Smolevichi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo-BelAZ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smolevichi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Smolevichi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.9%	14.8%	17.3%

Torpedo BelAZ - Smolevichi Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 55 - 67.9%). Smolevichi will win (votes: 14 - 17.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torpedo: 57.7% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
21.05.20	Neman Grodno - Torpedo-BelAZ	3:1 ✺
15.05.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	3:1 ✺
09.05.20	Slavia Mozyr - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:0 ✺
02.05.20	Minsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	2:5 ✺
26.04.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Rukh Brest	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTWT
- FC Smolevichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.05.20	Rukh Brest - Smolevichi	0:0 ✺
10.05.20	Smolevichi - BATE Borisov	3:5 ✺
01.05.20	Smolevichi - SKA-1938	0:2 ✺
24.04.20	Smolevichi - Dinamo Minsk	1:3 ✺
17.04.20	Belshina - Smolevichi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.07.18	Smolevichi - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:2
06.04.18	Torpedo-BelAZ - Smolevichi	1:0
Club Friendly
30.01.18	Torpedo-BelAZ - Smolevichi	4:0
Belarusian Cup
08.07.17	Smolevichi - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:2

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