Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Ramaz Shengelia (Kutaisi)

Referee: Lardot J. (Bel)


	Torpedo Kutaisi		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.45	Watch
	2.9	2.95	2.4
	3.2	2.85	2.45
	3.15	2.8	2.5
	3.17	2.85	2.52
	3.02	3.13	2.44	Watch
	3.15	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.34)	2.9 ↓ (3.04)	2.47 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Kutaisi
30.1%

Draw
32.1%

Aktobe
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

30.5%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Kutaisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aktobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	52.9%	29.4%

Torpedo Kutaisi - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Torpedo Kutaisi will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Aktobe will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kljajic F. (G) 3. Monteiro P. 16. Sandokhadze N. 5. Nadaraia T. 27. Shergelashvili L. 15. Kobuladze G. 7. Gigauri M. (C) 6. Akbari R. 20. Bugridze I. 8. Arabidze G. 14. Pantsulaia G.	1. Pokatilov S. (G) 6. Kasym A. 88. Yashin D. 4. Gadrani L. 31. Tanzharikov A. 19. Raickovic M. 5. Strumia L. 77. Shomko D. (C) 80. Kenesov A. 93. Elder Santana 7. Baytana B.
Substitutes
39. Caballero M. 25. Chachua J. 4. Chichinadze A. 19. Ekongolo Nkoumba 13. Giuli Manjgaladze 2. Goglichidze S. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 38. Kayke David 37. Meparishvili A.. 21. Neto A.	20. China 21. Filipovic A. 66. Ghnayem E. 99. Izotov R. 14. Kybyray Y. 41. Lobantsev M. (G) 10. Samorodov M. 17. Umaev I. 9. Zhumabek A.
Coaches
Kean S.	Karpovich A.

Preview

1st leg.

Torpedo Kutaisi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aktobe is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Torpedo Kutaisi have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Kutaisi
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:2 penalties ✺
13.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo	2:2 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
04.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:0 penalties ✺
30.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Batumi	0:1 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTWLW
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
22.07.23	Aktobe - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Aktobe	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
25.06.23	Aktobe - Makhtaaral	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Aktobe - Shakhter Karagandy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
12.07.12	Aktobe - Torpedo Kutaisi	N/A

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