Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Koblandy Batyr Stadium (Aktobe)

Referee: Zatula A. (Kaz)


	Aktobe		Kaisar

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	4.95	Watch
	1.63	3.46	4.91
	1.65	3.52	5.06	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.64	3.67	5.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	3.51 ↓ (3.83)	5.09 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
56%

Draw
26%

Kaisar
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The chances for Kaisar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Aktobe - Kaisar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aktobe (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 23. Erlanov T. 18. Ordets I. (C) 27. Dosmagambetov T. 31. Tanzharikov A. 21. Alvarez P. 20. Zhukov G. 80. Kenesov A. 10. Zeljkovic A. 17. Nani 11. Shushenachev A.	1. Salaydin N. (C) 93. Askarov S. 15. Idrisov N. 51. Mokhammad A. 21. Serikuly D. 6. Kaldybekov E. 42. Miqueias 12. Sovet S. 70. Ezekiel I. 14. Jones T. 23. Zhumat M.
Substitutes
42. Baydavletov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 52. Kusainov S. (G) 19. Laturnus V. 54. Ospan D. 14. Pibe 49. Toregali N. 1. Trofimets I. (G)	8. Abiken A. 16. Azhikhan A. (G) 44. Batyrbek S. 24. Cuckic N. 47. Konlimkos B. 40. Kovac A. (G) 96. Mukhammed A. 18. Rustemuly D. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S.
Coaches
Tarkovic S.	Ferapontov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Ezekiel I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Serikuly D. ↓, Cuckic N. ↑,
46', Zhumat M. ↓, Abiken A. ↑,
46', Ezekiel I. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Mukhammed A. (Own goal),
51', Zhukov G. 🟨,
55', Alvarez P. 🟨,
61', Shushenachev A. 🟨,
62', Jones T. ↓, Rustemuly D. ↑,
74', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Zhumabekov S. ↑,
78', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Laturnus V. ↑,
79', Kenesov A. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Shushenachev A. ⚽, Laturnus V. (A),
90+1', Tanzharikov A. ↓, Toregali N. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Zhumabekov S. (Own goal),
90+4', Zhukov G. ↓, Baydavletov A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kaisar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kaisar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Aktobe is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
03.05.26	Ordabasy - Aktobe	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
30.04.26	Aktobe - Yelimay Semey	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Zhenis - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
06.05.26	Kaisar - Kairat	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Kaisar - Zhetysu	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Kaisar - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Okzhetpes - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kaisar - Altai Semey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
14.05.25	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:2
06.04.25	Aktobe - Kaisar	4:1
18.08.24	Aktobe - Kaisar	1:1
Kazakh League Cup
25.05.24	Aktobe - Kaisar	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
01.03.24	Kaisar - Aktobe	1:3
22.07.23	Aktobe - Kaisar	1:0
28.05.23	Kaisar - Aktobe	0:1

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