Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - Final

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Torpedo Moscow		Kuban-Kholding

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.91	5.41	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.74)	3.58 ↓ (3.91)	4.33 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
50.3%

Draw
27.2%

Kuban-Kholding
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

24.4%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torpedo Moscow's form might have worsened.

Kuban-Kholding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuban-Kholding than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Torpedo Moscow - Kuban Kholding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Soldatenko R. (G) 9. Bakic D. 84. Churilov V. 97. Curic M. 23. Danilin K. 3. Ivankov A. (C) 21. Lomakin A. 5. Moskvichev V. 99. Shevchenko G. 73. Shitov V. 55. Stepanov D.	15. Stenyakin A. (G) 13. Babayan R. 44. Dashaev A. (C) 11. Dmitriev M. 10. Fadeev N. 19. Grechkin A. 20. Kartashov D. 8. Kotov D. 21. Orazaev I. 18. Popov O. 27. Zakharov I.
Substitutes
17. Alykulov G. 19. Baytukov R. 14. Burkhin E. 38. Chupayov A. 15. Danilkin E. 46. Dunay V. 8. Galoyan A. 22. Kozhemyakin O. 27. Orekhov A. 90. Roganovic B. 74. Volkov M. (G)	4. Garaev R. 16. Kopylov S. (G) 23. Mikhailov D. 14. Sapozhnikov I. 24. Sergienko I. 22. Smirnov M. 17. Solovjev D. 2. Tagiev N. 12. Veselovskiy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Churilov V. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Shitov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kartashov D. ↓, Sapozhnikov I. ↑,
46', Kotov D. ↓, Mikhailov D. ↑,
46', Churilov V. ↓, Danilkin E. ↑,
63', Shitov V. ↓, Alykulov G. ↑,
63', Bakic D. ↓, Chupayov A. ↑,
67', Lomakin A. ↓, Kozhemyakin O. ↑,
75', Kozhemyakin O. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Dmitriev M. (Pen),
78', Dmitriev M. 🟨,
82', Popov O. ↓, Sergienko I. ↑,
85', Orazaev I. 🟨,
86', Fadeev N. ↓, Tagiev N. ↑,
90', Babayan R. ↓, Garaev R. ↑,
90+1', Moskvichev V. ↓, Galoyan A. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Danilin K. (Pen),
1, Garaev R. (Pen),
2, Galoyan A. (Pen),
2, Tagiev N. (Pen),
3, Curic M. (Pen),
3, Sapozhnikov I. (Pen),
4, Chupayov A. (Pen),
4, Mikhailov D. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Torpedo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Torpedo is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	3:2 ✺
20.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Veles Moscow	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWTL
- Kuban-Kholding
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
25.10.25	Kuban-Kholding - Dynamo Stavropol	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Kuban-Kholding	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
16.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Kuban-Kholding	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
11.10.25	Kuban-Kholding - FC Sevastopol	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Kuban-Kholding - Nart Cherkessk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWWTL

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