Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 20

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Matveev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match TV


	Arsenal Tula		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.16	8
	1.45	4.1	7.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.13 ↑ (3.8)	7.75 ↑ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
65%

Draw
22.8%

Tyumen
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24.7%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Arsenal Tula - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Levashov M. (C) 44. Berdnikov A. 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 13. Kaynov M. 78. Lipovoy D. 8. Popov A. 5. Razdorskikh N. 22. Tsaraev A. 9. Turishchev M. 25. Volkov Z. 28. Zhilkin G.	97. Goshev E. (G) 72. Bem A. 34. Khramtsov M. 4. Klenkin D. 24. Korotaev A. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 5. Poroykov S. 10. Savinov A. 30. Shavlokhov D.
Substitutes
34. Dmitriev O. 10. Geloyan I. 60. Kashintsev T. (G) 20. Khabibov A. 23. Korotkov A. 4. Nduka I. D. 14. Odeyinka M. 6. Pechenkin N. 64. Semenchuk D. 21. Shevchenko E. 50. Sokolov I. 90. Sugrobov V. (G)	2. Kalugin N. 17. Kosarev K. 33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 9. Kuptsov D. 90. Mokaev I. 27. Petukhov I. 41. Sukhoruchenko M. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. 36. Voropaev A.
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Menshchikov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Shavlokhov D. 🟨,
20', Kaynov M. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Turishchev M. ⚽,
38', Poroykov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Savinov A. ↓, Kosarev K. ↑,
64', Maryanov A. ↓, Tkachuk D. ↑,
64', Poroykov S. ↓, Voropaev A. ↑,
70', Kulishev A. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
70', Turishchev M. ↓, Odeyinka M. ↑,
70', Tsaraev A. ↓, Dmitriev O. ↑,
79', Bem A. ↓, Kuptsov D. ↑,
82', Razdorskikh N. ↓, Shevchenko E. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Kuptsov D. ⚽,
87', Zhilkin G. ↓, Sokolov I. ↑,
90', Botaka-Yoboma E. 🟨,
90+2', Kosarev K. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Kosarev K. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Arsenal have a series of guest games.

Recently Tyumen have a series of home games.

In this match Arsenal is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
16.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Alania Vladikavkaz - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Sokol Saratov - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	1:1 ✺
21.10.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLTT
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
17.11.24	Tyumen - Sochi	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Tyumen - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:4 ✺
03.11.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
Russian Cup
29.10.24	Tyumen - Amkar Perm	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL
26.10.24	Tyumen - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
23.08.24	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	0:0
30.03.24	Arsenal Tula - Tyumen	0:0
04.09.23	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	1:2
27.03.16	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	1:2
07.09.15	Arsenal Tula - Tyumen	1:2

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