Match Info

RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Luzhniki Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Torpedo Moscow		Zenit

	1	X	2
	18	7.8	1.12
	21.92	8.95	1.13
	22	9.3	1.13
	18	8	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	19.98 ↑ (12.88)	8.51 ↑ (6.43)	1.13 ↓ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
4.7%

Draw
11.1%

Zenit
84.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.3%

14.7%

78%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zenit's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Torpedo Moscow - Zenit Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Zenit will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zenit: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 1).

Torpedo has the most likely position - 16 (78.27%), has project points - 17, has currently - 6, has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Zenit has the most likely position - 1 (94.15%), has project points - 72, has currently - 39, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of win league (94%).

This event has quality 38, importance 31, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Torpedo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zenit is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Zenit is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torpedo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Torpedo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Premier League
06.11.22	Torpedo Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Spartak Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Akhmat Grozny - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
19.10.22	CSKA Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.10.22	Torpedo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLLWL
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
05.11.22	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	1:2 ✺
30.10.22	Krasnodar - Zenit	0:1 ✺
24.10.22	Zenit - Sochi	7:0 ✺
Russian Cup
20.10.22	Zenit - Krylya Sovetov	2:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.10.22	Nizhny Novgorod - Zenit	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
21.08.22	Zenit - Torpedo Moscow	2:0
15.03.15	Torpedo Moscow - Zenit	1:1
09.08.14	Zenit - Torpedo Moscow	8:1

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