Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj)

Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Akhmat Grozny		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.4	6.6
	1.44	4.78	7.29
	1.46	4.7	7.3
	1.44	4.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	4.6 ↑ (4.23)	6.95 ↑ (5.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
65.7%

Draw
20.6%

Torpedo Moscow
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

22.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

22.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Akhmat Grozny - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akhmat: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

Akhmat has the most likely position - 8 (15.86%), has project points - 44, has currently - 20, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Torpedo has the most likely position - 16 (60.65%), has project points - 20, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (87%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, small importance 18, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Akhmat is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Akhmat: Todorovic D. (Injury) Utsiev R. (Injury)

There will not play in Torpedo: Botnar V. (Knee Injury) Kutepov I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Akhmat: Nizic Z. (Injury)

There are questionable in Torpedo: Ryazantsev A. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Akhmat won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Akhmat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Cup
19.10.22	Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny	4:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.10.22	Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny	2:3 ✺
09.10.22	Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny	2:1 ✺
02.10.22	Akhmat Grozny - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
29.09.22	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWW
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Cup
19.10.22	CSKA Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
15.10.22	Torpedo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Torpedo Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Fakel - Torpedo Moscow	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
28.09.22	Ural - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
13.04.15	Torpedo Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	0:0
03.12.14	Akhmat Grozny - Torpedo Moscow	0:1

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