The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Worthing 46.4%
Draw 24.8%
Torquay United 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
24.4%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
24.2%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Worthing - Torquay United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Moulton R. ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, Worthington M. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Torquay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Torquay has had a series of away games.
Worthing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 2.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 3.7:1.7).
Outrights of English National League South for now
Torquay: 14.21%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Torquay
10
3
4
3
13:14
-1
13
Last Results with these Odds
Worthing - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.6%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.