Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 3

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril (Penafiel)

Referee: Ramalho P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Penafiel		Tondela

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.25	3.1	2.87
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.36	3.25	3.27
	2.31	3.14	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.28	3.18	3.21	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
40.5%

Draw
29.3%

Tondela
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Penafiel - Tondela Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Penafiel will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Penafiel: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Balde M. (G) 68. Maga 4. Miguel J. (C) 44. Pereira R. 15. Silva J. 21. Batista D. 20. Rodrigues T. 8. Reko 34. Ze Leite 17. Gabriel Barbosa (Robinho) 19. Chico Teixeira	31. Bernardo (G) 4. Pola J. 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 60. Maviram E. 8. Tavares H. 6. Ceitil A. 11. Costinha 7. Xavier 9. Miro 21. Maranhao
Substitutes
26. Brito D. 3. Fernandes G. 11. Leal J. 1. Oliveira Miguel (G) 14. Pereira B. 13. Pinheiro Edu 30. Silva A. 9. Suker H. 7. Vieira P.	23. Cascavel 97. Cicero 26. Cunha N. 20. Fuller T. 43. Joao Cesco 48. Manso T. 30. Ramos R. 1. Souza G. (G) 18. Talocha
Coaches
Cristovao H.	Pinto L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Ze Leite ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Batista D. ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Maranhao (Pen),
27', Alves R. 🟨,
29', 2 - 2, Manso T. ⚽, Xavier (A),
39', Ze Leite 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ze Leite ↓, Silva A. ↑,
61', Pola J. ↓, Talocha ↑,
70', Maviram E. ↓, Cicero ↑,
73', Manso T. 🟨,
76', Chico Teixeira ↓, Vieira P. ↑,
78', Reko 🟨,
85', Xavier ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
85', Miro ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
86', Gabriel Barbosa (Robinho) ↓, Suker H. ↑,
86', Reko ↓, Pinheiro Edu ↑,
88', Maga 🟨,
90+7', Batista D. ↓, Leal J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 4.

Tondela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
18.08.24	Vizela - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
11.08.24	Penafiel - Oliveirense	4:3 ✺
16.05.24	Penafiel - Torreense	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Vilaverdense - Penafiel	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Penafiel - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTLL
- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
19.08.24	Tondela - Porto B	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Marítimo - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.24	Leiria - Tondela	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Boavista - Tondela	2:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.05.24	AVS - Tondela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
13.04.24	Tondela - Penafiel	0:1
03.12.23	Penafiel - Tondela	0:2
14.05.23	Penafiel - Tondela	1:0
09.01.23	Tondela - Penafiel	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
03.08.19	Penafiel - Tondela	1:0
Taça de Portugal
19.10.14	Penafiel - Tondela	3:2 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.14	Tondela - Penafiel	0:3

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