Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday


	Torreense		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	5	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.3
	1.61	3.6	4.8
	1.59	3.87	5.7
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.58	3.78	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.76)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	4.94 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
56.9%

Draw
24.6%

União de Santarém
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

17.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torreense's performance.

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União de Santarém might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torreense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União de Santarém could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Torreense - União de Santarém Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Torreense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

União de Santarém is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

União de Santarém could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Torreense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torreense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Torreense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 3
08.01.22	Sporting Lisbon B - Torreense	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Torreense - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
11.12.21	Leiria - Torreense	1:0 ✺
08.12.21	Amora - Torreense	0:1 ✺
05.12.21	Torreense - Alverca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWL
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
09.01.22	União de Santarém - Caldas	1:1 ✺
22.12.21	Sporting Lisbon B - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
18.12.21	Real SC - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
11.12.21	União de Santarém - Oriental Dragon	2:2 ✺
04.12.21	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
19.09.21	União de Santarém - Torreense	1:3
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.02.21	União de Santarém - Torreense	0:2
17.11.19	Torreense - União de Santarém	1:1

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