Match Info

National League South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Totton		Dover Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.55	2.98
	2.15	3.6	3.11
	2.12	3.68	3.07	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.1
	2.07	3.45	3.06
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2)	3.53 ↓ (3.76)	3.05 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
43.7%

Draw
26.1%

Dover Athletic
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

24.7%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Dover Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Totton than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Totton - Dover Athletic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Rose D. ⚽,
30', Beadle H. 🟥,
34', 2 - 0, Rendell S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Lee T. ⚽,
84', Osborne C. 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 15).

Totton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dover's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Totton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Totton might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Totton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

AFC Totton: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Dover	10	5	2	3	17:16	1	17
20	AFC Totton	9	3	1	5	8:15	-7	10

Last Results with these Odds

Totton - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.45%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English National League South
17.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Totton	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	Totton - Enfield Town	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Totton - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Salisbury - Totton	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Totton - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLW
- Dover Athletic
English National League South
20.01.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Dover Athletic - Bath City	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
30.12.25	Dover Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.08.25	Dover Athletic - Totton	2:3

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