Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	Toulouse		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7	Watch
	1.48	4	6.5
	1.45	4.1	7.2	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.8
	1.42	4.62	8.31
	1.42	4.33	8	Watch
	1.44	4.6	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	4.37 ↓ (4.38)	7.3 ↓ (8.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
65.6%

Draw
21.5%

Châteauroux
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

21.4%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.4%

18.1%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	7.5%	7.5%

Toulouse - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: Toulouse will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Toulouse has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (73%), has a chance of win league (30%).

Châteauroux has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of promoted.

Toulouse is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Châteauroux is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Toulouse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Toulouse is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
12.04.21	Guingamp - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.04.21	Olympique de Saumur - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
03.04.21	Toulouse - Nancy	4:1 ✺
20.03.21	Niort - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
13.03.21	Toulouse - Chambly	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLW
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
10.04.21	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Grenoble - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
20.03.21	Châteauroux - Caen	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Sochaux - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
02.03.21	Pau - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.12.20	Châteauroux - Toulouse	0:3

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