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Current Win Probability
Tractor Sazi 37.7%
Draw 31.4%
Esteghlal 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
32.4%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
34.2%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tractor Sazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tractor Sazi's form might have worsened.
Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esteghlal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tractor Sazi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esteghlal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Beiranvand A. (G) 58. Daneshgar M. 11. Esmaeilifar D. 33. Faraji F. 7. Halilovic T. 6. Hosseini M. 99. Hosseinzadeh A. 3. Khalilzadeh S. 70. Moghanlou S. 22. Naderi M. 2. Shiri M.
76. Farabbasi H. (G) 33. Aghasi A. 7. Asani J. 5. Ashurmatov R. 6. Fallah S. 87. Gholizadeh E. 27. Goudarzi H. 2. Hardani S. 20. Koushki A. 8. Razzaghinia A. 11. Saharkhizan S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Saharkhizan S. ⚽, Goudarzi H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 1 - 1, Hosseini M. ⚽,
90', Hardani S. 🟨,
90+2', Faraji F. 🟨,
90+5', Strkalj T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tractor Sazi won 3.
Tractor Sazi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Esteghlal is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Tractor Sazi has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tractor Sazi has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:30 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tractor Sazi against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Iran
Ireland
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Beiranvand A. (G) 
Halilovic T. 
Asani J. 
Ashurmatov R. 
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