Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 13

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Forest Green Rovers		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.7
	2.45	3.5	2.6
	2.5	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.54	3.69	2.71
	2.5	3.6	2.6
	2.47	3.65	2.61	Watch
	2.43	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.24)	3.58 ↑ (3.47)	2.64 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
37.9%

Draw
26.3%

Colchester United
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26.9%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colchester: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 25. Dabo F. (C) 3. Bernard D. 22. Welch R. 2. Lavinier M. 7. McAllister K. 18. Maddox J. 27. Bunker H. 23. Omotoye T. 39. Morton C. 14. Deeney T.	12. Smith T. (G) 18. Egbo M. 5. Hall C. (C) 15. Mitchell Z. 30. Kazeem A. 13. McGeehan C. 20. Mingi J. J. 42. Fevrie J. 25. Taylor J. 10. Chilvers N. 14. Hopper T.
Substitutes
12. Bendle A. 6. Jenks T. 19. Robertson S. 17. Robson J. 20. Searle J. (G) 9. Stevens M. 10. Taylor M.	8. Bandeira M. 37. Cooper C. 6. Dallison T. 2. Greenidge W. 29. Hornby S. (G) 48. Ihionvein B. 9. Tovide S.
Coaches
Horseman D.	Garner B.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Forest Green have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Walsall - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Stockport County - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Notts County - Forest Green Rovers	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL
- Colchester United
English League Two
07.10.23	Colchester United - Morecambe	1:3 ✺
03.10.23	Newport County - Colchester United	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Colchester United - Notts County	5:4 ✺
23.09.23	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Colchester United - Tottenham Hotspur U21	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.03.22	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1
11.01.22	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	2:0
27.02.21	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	3:0
20.10.20	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	1:0
14.09.19	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	1:0
12.03.19	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	0:3
27.11.18	Forest Green Rovers - Colchester United	0:1

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