Match Info

League Two - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: County Ground (Swindon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)


	Swindon Town		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.55	Watch
	2	3.67	3.79
	1.88	3.57	3.79	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3.65	Watch
	1.86	3.6	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)	3.57 ↓ (3.57)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
48.6%

Draw
26.2%

Tranmere Rovers
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.1%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 3. Mabete F. 22. Knight-Lebel J. 33. McGregor J. 21. Murphy A. 7. Nichols T. 26. Munroe F. 9. Glatzel P. 28. Palmer O. 44. Oldaker D.	13. Murphy J. (G) 30. McGowan A. 5. Smith N. 3. Brough P. 2. Norman C. 42. Kenneh N. 6. Smallwood R. (C) 8. Finley S. 11. Patrick O. 18. Jennings C. 29. Ironside J.
Substitutes
6. Ball J. 31. Bodin B. 4. Delaney R. 20. Ehibhatiomhan P. 45. Gray H. 17. Tafazolli R. 12. Ward L. (G)	12. Barrett J. (G) 10. Davison J. 9. Dennis K. 25. Harris T. 14. Joseph J. 16. Lowe J.
Coaches
Holloway I.	Crosby A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Mabete F. 🟨,
45+4', Palmer O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Norman C. 🟨,
57', Jennings C. 🟨,
61', Jennings C. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
61', Kenneh N. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
61', Ironside J. ↓, Harris T. ↑,
64', Murphy A. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
64', Mabete F. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
64', Knight-Lebel J. ↓, Tafazolli R. ↑,
67', Finley S. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽,
76', Nichols T. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
81', Palmer O. ↓, Delaney R. ↑,
87', Finley S. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Dennis K. ⚽,
89', Munroe F. 🟨,
90+2', Patrick O. ↓, Lowe J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Munroe F. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Swindon is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Tafazolli R. (Injury)

There will not play in Tranmere: McGee L. (Hip Injury) Williams J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E. (Injury) Turnbull J. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Rotherham United - Swindon Town	1:2 ET ✺
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Swindon Town - West Ham United U21	2:3 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Swindon Town - Colchester United	0:0 ✺
21.10.25	Swindon Town - Notts County	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTTL
- Tranmere Rovers
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
English League Two
28.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Tranmere Rovers - Barnet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.01.25	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:1
01.10.24	Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town	1:1
27.02.24	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:1
23.12.23	Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town	2:1
10.04.23	Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town	1:0
12.11.22	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:1
08.02.22	Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town	3:0

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