Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Trapani		Spezia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.35
	3.15	3.15	2.35	Watch
	3.14	2.97	2.2
	3.45	3.16	2.31
	2.75	3.1	2.6
	3.34	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.86)	3.08 ↑ (3.02)	2.33 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
29.1%

Draw
30.5%

Spezia
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

31.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

22.5%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trapani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spezia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	11.4%	74.3%

Trapani - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Trapani will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.02.20	Cremonese - Trapani	5:0 ✺
10.02.20	Salernitana - Trapani	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Trapani - Cittadella	0:3 ✺
26.01.20	Venezia - Trapani	1:1 ✺
18.01.20	Trapani - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLTW
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.02.20	Spezia - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
11.02.20	Spezia - Cremonese	3:2 ✺
08.02.20	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
01.02.20	Spezia - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
26.01.20	Crotone - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.09.19	Spezia - Trapani	2:4
18.02.17	Spezia - Trapani	2:2
20.09.16	Trapani - Spezia	0:0
31.05.16	Trapani - Spezia	2:0
28.05.16	Spezia - Trapani	0:1
26.03.16	Spezia - Trapani	1:2
07.11.15	Trapani - Spezia	5:1

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