Match Info

Nike liga - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Štadión na Sihoti (Trenčín)

Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Voyo
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Trenčín		Spartak Trnava

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.80	1.75
	3.80	3.60	1.72
	4.04	4.05	1.83
	3.9	3.98	1.8	Watch
	3.85	3.95	1.77
	3.84	3.88	1.80	Watch
	3.90	3.75	1.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.78)	3.86 ↑ (3.75)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trenčín
23.9%

Draw
24%

Spartak Trnava
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

24.6%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

23.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Spartak Trnava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trenčín than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Trnava than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Trenčín - Spartak Trnava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Katic A. (C) 90. Pavek H. 33. Krizan R. 95. Diouf P. 25. Skovajsa L. 18. Poom M. 8. Hajovsky T. 93. Gonzalez P. 7. Eynel Soares 21. Mikulaj L. 77. Paur J.	72. Vantruba M. (G) 24. Kostrna K. 52. Sabo E. 13. Ujlaky M. 29. Mikovic M. (C) 5. Begala R. 91. Lausic M. 19. Kudlicka T. 30. Khorkheli L. 20. Trello F. 97. Poltak D.
Substitutes
16. Ansah C. 31. Campagne J. 40. Garba M. 22. Jepihhin D. 2. Jovanovic N. 10. Kam D. 19. Nadareishvili G. 70. Sabljic F. 30. Slavicek M. (G)	11. Azango P. 16. Bajrami M. 3. Carrion J. 4. Holik L. 31. Janacek M. (G) 17. Mehmeti L. 25. Mensah I. 8. Moistsrapishvili G. 6. Prochazka R.
Coaches
Moniz R.	Munoz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Krizan R. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Trello F. ⚽, Poltak D. (A),
45+3', Moniz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Kostrna K. 🟨,
49', Mikulaj L. 🟨,
53', Poltak D. ↓, Mehmeti L. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Kudlicka T. ⚽, Sabo E. (A),
64', Trello F. ↓, Moistsrapishvili G. ↑,
64', Mikovic M. ↓, Carrion J. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Carrion J. ⚽, Khorkheli L. (A),
66', Hajovsky T. ↓, Kam D. ↑,
66', Krizan R. ↓, Jovanovic N. ↑,
66', Gonzalez P. ↓, Nadareishvili G. ↑,
73', 0 - 4, Sabo E. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Kostrna K. ↓, Holik L. ↑,
78', Khorkheli L. ↓, Azango P. ↑,
80', Paur J. ↓, Campagne J. ↑,
80', Poom M. ↓, Ansah C. ↑,
90', Mikulaj L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trenčín won 0.

In recent matches, Trenčín has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trnava is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Trenčín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trnava is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trenčín won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Trenčín won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Outrights of Slovak Superliga for now

Trencin: 0.77%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Trnava	9	5	3	1	21:10	11	18
11	Trencin	8	1	2	5	10:20	-10	5

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Trnava - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.87%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK AS Trenčín
Slovak Superliga
15.08.26	Podbrezová - Trenčín	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	MFK Košice - Trenčín	3:3 ✺
25.07.26	Trenčín - Komárno	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Trenčín - Baník Ostrava	3:2 ✺
10.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTWL
- Spartak Trnava
Slovak Cup
19.08.26	Spartak Trnava - Trenčianske Stankovce	3:0 ✺
Slovak Superliga
16.08.26	Spartak Trnava - Zemplín Michalovce	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Spartak Trnava - Dukla Banská Bystrica	3:0 ✺
02.08.26	Komárno - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Spartak Trnava	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
02.11.25	Spartak Trnava - Trenčín	4:0
03.08.25	Trenčín - Spartak Trnava	0:1
27.10.24	Trenčín - Spartak Trnava	2:3
28.07.24	Spartak Trnava - Trenčín	0:0
29.10.23	Trenčín - Spartak Trnava	2:3
30.07.23	Spartak Trnava - Trenčín	1:2
Slovak Cup
05.04.23	Spartak Trnava - Trenčín	3:0

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