Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 26

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Brescia		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.35	7.7	Watch
	1.42	4.2	8.37
	1.34	4.6	7.94	Watch
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.4	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.28 ↓ (4.6)	7.84 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
66.7%

Draw
21.6%

Virtus Verona
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.9%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

18.7%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brescia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brescia - Virtus Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 3. Rizzo A. 4. Sorensen F. 28. Silvestri L. 93. Marras M. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 15. De Francesco A. 27. Lamesta A. 24. Boci B. 97. Cazzadori D. 99. Crespi V.	22. Sibi S. (G) 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 6. Daffara M. 28. Patane N. 21. Ballarini M. 30. Gatti C. 75. Bassi M. 10. Zarpellon L. 9. De Marchi M. 44. Pagliuca M.
Substitutes
82. Armati L. 30. Cantamessa S. 11. Cisco A. 18. De Maria V. 21. Fogliata R. 51. Grazioli N. (G) 74. Leporini L. 1. Liverani L. (G) 42. Moretti L. 45. Valente M.	2. Alfonso E. (G) 7. Amadio M. 8. Caia F. 3. Cielo T. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 85. Fiori N. 20. Fiorin G. 11. Mastour H. 29. Saiani F. 12. Scardigno N. (G) 36. Sebastiani G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Sorensen F. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Crespi V. ⚽,
31', Mancini T. 🟨,
33', 3 - 0, Crespi V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mancini T. ↓, Saiani F. ↑,
46', Zarpellon L. ↓, Mastour H. ↑,
61', Pagliuca M. ↓, Caia F. ↑,
71', Marras M. ↓, Cisco A. ↑,
71', Silvestri L. ↓, Moretti L. ↑,
73', Gatti C. ↓, Cielo T. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Patane N. ⚽,
78', Lamesta A. ↓, De Maria V. ↑,
78', Balestrero D. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
80', Ballarini M. ↓, Cuel E. ↑,
84', Crespi V. ↓, Valente M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In recent matches, Brescia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Verona has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Brescia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brescia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.26	Novara - Brescia	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Giana Erminio - Brescia	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Brescia - Renate	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Pro Vercelli - Brescia	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Brescia - Trento	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLTW
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.26	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Virtus Verona - Pro Vercelli	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Inter U23 - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Virtus Verona - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.09.25	Virtus Verona - Brescia	1:1

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