Match Info

Cymru South - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Treowen Stars		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.65	3.10
	1.88	4.04	3.18
	2.02	4	3.05	Watch
	1.86	4.00	3.10
	1.88	3.86	3.22
	1.87	3.80	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.22)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	3.13 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
47.7%

Draw
23.3%

Cardiff Draconians
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

23.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Treowen Stars's performance.

Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cardiff Draconians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Treowen Stars - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 10).

Treowen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Treowen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Treowen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Treowen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	2:4 ✺
01.08.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Treowen Stars - Carmarthen Town	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Trefelin - Treowen Stars	6:0 ✺
28.03.26	Treowen Stars - Ammanford	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLWLL
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Llanelli	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd United	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cardiff Draconians - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
21.02.26	Treowen Stars - Cardiff Draconians	1:0
08.11.25	Cardiff Draconians - Treowen Stars	4:3

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