Match Info

Cymru South - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Treowen Stars		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.75
	3.68	3.9	1.75
	3.7	3.98	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.75
	3.91	3.84	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.68)	3.78 ↓ (4.04)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
24.2%

Draw
24%

Ammanford
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

23.2%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

22.8%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Treowen Stars - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Jones C. 🟥,
41', Jones G. 🟥,
42', 0 - 1, John D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
47', 0 - 2, Bell C. ⚽,
81', 0 - 3, John R. ⚽,
81', 0 - 4, John R. ⚽,
84', 1 - 4, Delaney M. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 5, Fisher M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Treowen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ammanford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Treowen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ammanford is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Treowen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
23.03.26	Treowen Stars - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Newport City - Treowen Stars	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Treowen Stars - Baglan Dragons	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
10.03.26	Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWTL
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
24.03.26	Ammanford - Cambrian United	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Ammanford - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Llantwit Major - Ammanford	2:3 ✺
06.03.26	Ammanford - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Afan Lido - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Ammanford - Treowen Stars	1:0

Upcoming Matches