Match Info

Cymru South - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Treowen Stars		Ynyshir Albions

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.50	2.75
	2.08	3.69	2.95
	2.18	3.72	2.92	Watch
	2.05	3.65	2.90
	2.03	3.90	3.12
	2.10	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.17)	3.67 ↓ (3.73)	2.9 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
43.7%

Draw
24.9%

Ynyshir Albions
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

24%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ynyshir Albions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Ynyshir Albions aligns with the current prediction.

Treowen Stars - Ynyshir Albions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Norton J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 1 - 2, Facey D. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th and 10th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.

Treowen is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Treowen has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Treowen against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ynyshir Albions	9	4	4	1	15:9	6	16
11	Treowen	10	4	1	5	19:21	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
26.09.26	Pontardawe Town - Treowen Stars	6:1 ✺
12.09.26	Treowen Stars - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Llanelli - Treowen Stars	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Caerau Ely - Treowen Stars	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLW
- Ynyshir Albions
Welsh Cymru South
26.09.26	Ynyshir Albions - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Carmarthen Town - Ynyshir Albions	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
28.02.26	Ynyshir Albions - Treowen Stars	1:1
15.11.25	Treowen Stars - Ynyshir Albions	3:0

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