Match Info

Cymru South - Round 21

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.15	4.65
	1.57	4.26	4.63
	1.59	4.42	4.69	Watch
	1.53	3.8	4.6
	1.53	4.15	4.86
	1.6	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.58)	4.13 ↓ (4.27)	4.61 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
58.3%

Draw
22%

Cwmbran Celtic
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

21.7%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Thomas J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Rees L. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Trethomas Bluebirds has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Trethomas Bluebirds is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
23.01.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:5 ✺
09.01.26	Trefelin - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:1 ✺
26.12.25	Treowen Stars - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWT
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
16.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Cardiff Draconians	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Treowen Stars	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Newport City - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.09.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2
07.03.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0
30.11.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	4:6
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3

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