Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 18h 55m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zito C. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Desenzano Calvina		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.10	2.95
	2.22	3	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.23	3.18
	2.19	3.21	3.13	Watch
	2.15	3.15	3.1
	2.13	3.24	3.03
	2.22	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.26)	3.14 ↑ (3.02)	3.1 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
41.6%

Draw
29%

Giana Erminio
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

29.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Desenzano Calvina - Giana Erminio Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Desenzano will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Giana Erminio will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Desenzano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Desenzano holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Desenzano	10	3	4	3	9:11	-2	13
18	Giana Erminio	10	1	5	4	10:13	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Giana Erminio - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.84%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.26	Alcione - Desenzano Calvina	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	Desenzano Calvina - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Desenzano Calvina - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Treviso - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWTT
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.26	Giana Erminio - Brescia	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Renate - Giana Erminio	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Treviso - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTTTT

Desenzano Calvina - Giana Erminio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide