Match Info

Paraibano - Round 9

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Treze		Nacional de Patos

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.6
	1.88	3.25	3.7
	1.82	3.37	4.04	Watch
	1.91	3	4
	1.92	3.55	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)	3.31 ↓ (3.41)	3.82 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
48.7%

Draw
27.5%

Nacional de Patos
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Nacional de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Treze - Nacional de Patos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	12. Josue (G)
	2. Fabricio Recife
	10. Felipe Araujo
	3. Gabriel Alves
	5. Guto
	9. Pingo
	8. Renezinho
	11. Rogerio
	6. Tadeu
	23. Thalison
	20. Vitinho
Substitutes
	17. Abnner Oliveira
	13. Alyson
	22. Clebson
	7. De Araujo F.
	24. Galego
	15. Laecio
	19. Max Nobrega
	18. Negrito
	30. Paulo Victor (G)
	14. Pernambucano G.
	16. Riquelme
	21. Rodriguinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Pingo ⚽,
13', Renezinho 🟨,
22', Hugo Borges 🟨,
39', Felipe Araujo 🟨,
42', Rogerio ↓, Abnner Oliveira ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Silvano ↓, Juninho Pianco ↑,
46', Ryan Santos ↓, Vinicius Bala ↑,
57', Yan Oliveira 🟨,
57', Pingo 🟨,
65', 🟨,
65', Hugo Borges ↓, Brinquedo ↑,
76', Pingo ↓, Riquelme ↑,
76', Gabriel Alves ↓, Pernambucano G. ↑,
83', Gustavo Petrocelli ↓, Lucas Vieira ↑,
86', Josue 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Vinicius Bala ⚽,
88', Clebson 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Renezinho ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treze won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Treze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Treze will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Treze won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Treze won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
18.02.26	Botafogo PB - Treze	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Treze - Esporte de Patos	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Treze - Campinense	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Treze - Confiança PB	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Sousa - Treze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL
- Nacional de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
12.02.26	Nacional de Patos - Sousa	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Serra Branca - Nacional de Patos	2:2 ✺
05.02.26	Nacional de Patos - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Nacional de Patos	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Esporte de Patos - Nacional de Patos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
22.02.25	Nacional de Patos - Treze	1:4
27.01.24	Nacional de Patos - Treze	2:1
12.01.23	Nacional de Patos - Treze	2:0
10.03.22	Nacional de Patos - Treze	2:0
06.03.22	Treze - Nacional de Patos	2:2
06.05.21	Treze - Nacional de Patos	2:1
18.07.20	Nacional de Patos - Treze	0:0

Treze - Nacional de Patos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide