Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Cesena		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.25
	2.15	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.3
	2.23	2.75	3.3
	2.35	2.94	3.61
	2.35	2.9	3.2
	2.27	3.08	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.14)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)	3.3 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
40.8%

Draw
31.4%

Sambenedettese
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cesena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sambenedettese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cesena - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Cesena is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cesena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cesena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cesena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.20	Mantova - Cesena	0:4 ✺
05.12.20	Legnago Salus - Cesena	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Cesena - Modena	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Matelica - Cesena	2:2 ✺
15.11.20	Cesena - Ravenna	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTTW
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.20	Sambenedettese - Matelica	2:3 ✺
06.12.20	Triestina - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
02.12.20	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	2:3 ✺
29.11.20	Sambenedettese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Ravenna - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.10.19	Cesena - Sambenedettese	1:3
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Cesena - Sambenedettese	2:1

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