Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.18	3.15	3.3	Watch
	2.28	3.2	3.61
	2.14	3.24	3.46	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.26	3.26	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.16)	3.18 ↑ (3.13)	3.38 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
42.8%

Draw
29.5%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

27.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Cesena - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Südtirol will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 26. Piacentini M. 27. Corazza T. 25. Bisoli D. 10. Bastoni S. 11. Ciervo R. 14. Berti T. 9. Shpendi C. 7. Cerri A.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 23. Davi F. 19. Pietrangeli N. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 18. Tronchin S. 17. Casiraghi D. 7. Zedadka K. 33. Merkaj S. 11. Tonin R.
Substitutes
16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 4. Castagnetti M. 99. Frabotta G. 70. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 24. Mangraviti M. 32. Olivieri M. 1. Siano A. (G) 22. Vrioni G. 17. Wade I.	3. Bordon F. 1. Borra D. (G) 89. Crnigoj D. 24. Davi S. 94. El Kaouakibi H. 26. Frigerio M. R. 4. Mancini D. 6. Martini J. 5. Masiello A. 90. Odogwu R. 62. Theiner D. (G) 99. Verdi S.
Coaches
Cole A.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Tait F. ⚽, Casiraghi D. (A),
6', Molina S. 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Davi F. (Own goal),
43', Davi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Tonin R. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
55', Davi F. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
63', Shpendi C. ↓, Frabotta G. ↑,
63', Bastoni S. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
63', Tait F. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
71', Berti T. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
71', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
83', Ciervo R. ↓, Wade I. ↑,
85', Tronchin S. ↓, Davi S. ↑,
85', Molina S. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
90+4', Davi S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2.

Cesena has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Südtirol has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cesena could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cesena: Castagnetti M. (Inactive) Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Frabotta G. (Inactive) Mangraviti M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Südtirol: Coulibaly M. (Inactive) Cragno A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Davi S. (Inactive) Kofler R. (Inactive) Molina S. (Inactive) Odogwu R. (Inactive) Pecorino E. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cesena: Bastoni S. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Sudtirol: 2.03% Cesena: 0.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sudtirol	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Cesena - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
21.03.26	Cesena - Catanzaro	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Mantova - Cesena	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cesena - Frosinone	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Modena - Cesena	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Cesena - Monza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLTTL
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
22.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:3 ✺
18.03.26	Avellino - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pescara	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
03.03.26	Reggiana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	0:1
05.04.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	1:1
03.11.24	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
25.04.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	1:1
09.01.21	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
23.10.19	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1

Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide