Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Triestina		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.8
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.35	2.7	3.2
	2.45	2.8	2.85
	2.6	3.05	3.01
	2.55	2.9	2.9
	2.52	2.88	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.21)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)	2.93 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
37%

Draw
31.8%

Sambenedettese
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

20.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Triestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sambenedettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Triestina - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Triestina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sambenedettese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sambenedettese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Triestina won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Triestina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.20	Carpi - Triestina	2:2 ✺
25.11.20	Gubbio - Triestina	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Triestina - Fermana	3:1 ✺
15.11.20	FeralpiSalò - Triestina	2:1 ✺
11.11.20	Triestina - Imolese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLW
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
02.12.20	Arezzo - Sambenedettese	2:3 ✺
29.11.20	Sambenedettese - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Ravenna - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
14.11.20	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Sambenedettese - Perugia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.01.20	Triestina - Sambenedettese	1:2
01.09.19	Sambenedettese - Triestina	0:0
24.03.19	Triestina - Sambenedettese	4:0
25.11.18	Sambenedettese - Triestina	0:0
06.05.18	Triestina - Sambenedettese	1:1
16.12.17	Sambenedettese - Triestina	1:1

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