Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Carpi		Triestina

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.3	2.9	3	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.05
	2.27	2.8	3.15
	2.4	3.03	3.31
	2.35	2.9	3.2
	2.31	3.13	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.49)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
40%

Draw
30.9%

Triestina
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

30.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

22.2%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carpi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carpi - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Carpi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	3:2 ✺
15.11.20	Carpi - Perugia	0:0 ✺
11.11.20	Modena - Carpi	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	Carpi - Legnago Salus	0:0 ✺
01.11.20	Fermana - Carpi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTW
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.20	Gubbio - Triestina	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Triestina - Fermana	3:1 ✺
15.11.20	FeralpiSalò - Triestina	2:1 ✺
11.11.20	Triestina - Imolese	1:0 ✺
31.10.20	Arezzo - Triestina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.19	Carpi - Triestina	1:0

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