Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Max


	Sambenedettese		Perugia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	2.98	2.58	Watch
	2.92	2.92	2.63
	2.81	2.91	2.58	Watch
	2.75	2.7	2.5
	2.75	2.81	2.54	Watch
	2.83	2.9	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.38)	2.87 ↓ (3.09)	2.58 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
32.7%

Draw
31.8%

Perugia
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.8%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sambenedettese's form might have worsened.

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sambenedettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Sambenedettese - Perugia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Perugia (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Perugia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Orsini T. (G) 98. Lepri T. 21. Dalmazzi A. 17. Pezzola L. 4. Zini A. 18. Candellori K. 8. Bongelli R. 80. Piccoli M. 7. Marranzino P. 9. Eusepi U. (C) 27. Stoppa M.	1. Gemello L. (G) 11. Bacchin L. 5. Angella G. 15. Dell'Orco C. 28. Riccardi D. 20. Tumbarello G. 21. Ladinetti 31. Tozzuolo A. 77. Manzari G. 9. Montevago D. 10. Canotto L.
Substitutes
24. Alfieri V. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 22. Cultraro G. (G) 82. Lonardo E. 6. Lulli L. 70. Martins K. 11. Parigini V. 34. Ponzanetti M. (G) 14. Tosi F. 37. Toure M. 15. Zoboletti A.	16. Bartolomei P. 98. Bolsius D. 4. Joselito 23. Lisi F. 32. Megelaitis L. 12. Moro L. (G) 90. Nepi A. 71. Rondolini P. 13. Stramaccioni D. 17. Terrnava D. 24. Verre 22. Vinti L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Angella G. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Tozzuolo A. ⚽,
36', Eusepi U. 🟨,
41', Bacchin L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zini A. ↓, Parigini V. ↑,
49', Lepri T. 🟨,
58', Bongelli R. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
64', Canotto L. ↓, Lisi F. ↑,
64', Manzari G. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
64', Bacchin L. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
69', Eusepi U. ↓, Lonardo E. ↑,
69', Stoppa M. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
76', Ladinetti R. ↓, Megelaitis L. ↑,
84', Dell'Orco C. 🟨,
86', Candellori K. ↓, Tosi F. ↑,
90+5', Verre V. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Perugia	8	4	1	3	9:12	-3	13
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Sambenedettese - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.68%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.26	Carpi - Sambenedettese	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Sambenedettese - Pianese	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Forlì - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Sambenedettese - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Bra - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWTT
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
30.01.26	Perugia - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Ascoli - Perugia	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Perugia - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Perugia - Bra	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Perugia - Sambenedettese	1:2
02.03.21	Perugia - Sambenedettese	1:1
08.11.20	Sambenedettese - Perugia	1:1

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