Match Info

Prva liga - Round 12

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tozan M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovenia	17:30	SportKlub 1


	Mura		Nafta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.30	3.10
	2.16	3.20	2.88	Watch
	2.12	3.43	3.50
	2.19	3.49	3.11	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.45
	2.13	3.32	3.37	Watch
	2.17	3.30	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.11)	3.34 ↓ (3.42)	3.19 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mura
43.3%

Draw
27.7%

Nafta
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

28.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Nafta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nafta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Mura - Nafta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Dajcar M. (G) 47. Butic S. 7. Kasalo N. 24. Kitin L. 10. Kouter N. (C) 30. Kurtovic K. 56. Matic M. 77. Oroian D. 21. Petrovic Z. 18. Zalaznik A. 3. Zeljkovic A.	1. Erjavsek L. (G) 98. Dragoner A. 20. Ferreira A. 41. Lavrencic K. 17. Marosa A. 21. Omrani S. 18. Pihler A. (C) 2. Pirtovsek R. 33. Poredos L. 30. Vidnyanszky M. 7. Zorica J.
Substitutes
9. Ascic M. 8. Bobicanec L. 99. Caks R. 71. Dimitrov B. 33. Fermisek Z. (G) 5. Jelic I. 6. Jevsenak F. 88. Korosec A. 23. Kovacic J. 49. Pfeifer P. 2. Sana F. 17. Trdin K.	16. Bobson D. 90. Jamiu U. 11. Jasaragic A. 23. Kambic L. 99. Micic A. 89. Nemeth E. (G) 8. Ogwuche M. 10. Pihler L. 19. Sarr A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Kasalo N. 🟨,
56', Kasalo N. ↓, Bobicanec L. ↑,
64', Zalaznik A. 🟨,
67', Marosa A. 🟨,
69', Kurtovic K. ↓, Dimitrov B. ↑,
76', Omrani S. ↓, Pihler L. ↑,
81', Bobicanec L. 🟨,
84', Petrovic Z. ↓, Korosec A. ↑,
84', Butic S. ↓, Jevsenak F. ↑,
85', Marosa A. ↓, Jamiu U. ↑,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 9th in the Prva liga (Relegation) and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mura won 0.

Mura is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Nafta has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Mura is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Mura has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:15 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mura against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 3:4 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Nafta	12	5	2	5	18:16	2	17
8	Mura	13	2	6	5	14:25	-11	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.10.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	3:3 ✺
20.09.26	Mura - Celje	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:6 ✺
06.09.26	Maribor - Mura	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	NK Bravo - Mura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTLTL
- NK Nafta 1903
Slovenian PrvaLiga
11.10.26	Nafta - NK Bravo	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Koper - Nafta	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Nafta	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Nafta - Radomlje	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nafta - Maribor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
01.08.26	Nafta - Mura	5:2
Slovenian Cup
03.12.25	Mura - Nafta	1:2
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.04.25	Nafta - Mura	4:2
02.02.25	Mura - Nafta	0:0
28.09.24	Nafta - Mura	0:0
20.07.24	Mura - Nafta	1:0
Slovenian Cup
24.06.20	Nafta - Mura	0:2

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