Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 37

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Tristán Suárez		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.25	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.75
	1.55	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.59	3.87	6.7
	1.64	3.62	5.61	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5
	1.58	3.4	6.42	Watch
	1.55	3.6	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	3.61 ↑ (3.43)	5.97 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
58.5%

Draw
25.9%

Guillermo Brown
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

20.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tristán Suárez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guillermo Brown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tristán Suárez - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendive J. (G) 2. Iriarte I. 6. Ortega T. 3. Negro B. 4. Steimbach A. 8. Berges F. 5. Perez T. 10. Almada A. 11. Versaci F. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Amilivia T.	1. Soria M. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Bazzana N. 6. Herranz N. 3. Gorgerino C. 8. Perez R. 5. Marin F. 7. Machado C. 10. Luayza M. 9. Sandoval H. 11. Fernandez M.
Substitutes
20. Arostegui J. 19. Banuera G. 15. Cechi I. 17. Gorosito I. 13. Olivarez S. 14. Regules I. 16. Ruiz P. 12. Silva L. (G)	17. Alvarez B. 16. Chiavetto A. 20. Galeano M. 14. Gonzales E. 13. Martinez E. 19. Moreno M. 15. Riquelme R. D. 18. Silva A. 12. Velazquez F. (G)
Coaches
Martinez J. M.	Sialle A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Steimbach A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Almada A. ↓, Gorosito I. ↑,
46', Amilivia T. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
46', Herranz N. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
58', 2 - 0, Lavezzi A. ⚽,
61', 3 - 0, Lavezzi A. ⚽,
61', Perez R. 🟨,
63', Luayza M. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
63', Perez R. ↓, Riquelme R. D. ↑,
69', Sandoval H. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
69', Fernandez M. ↓, Galeano M. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Marin F. ⚽,
85', Machado C. 🟨,
87', Steimbach A. ↓, Olivarez S. ↑,
87', Versaci F. ↓, Cechi I. ↑,
87', Berges F. ↓, Regules I. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Galeano M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Tristán Suárez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guillermo Brown has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tristán Suárez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tristán Suárez is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.10.24	San Martín de San Juan - Tristán Suárez	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Tristán Suárez - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	San Martín de Tucumán - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Tristán Suárez - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Tristán Suárez	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLTT
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.10.24	Guillermo Brown - All Boys	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Deportivo Madryn - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Guillermo Brown	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.06.24	Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez	2:1
19.06.22	Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez	1:0
02.10.21	Guillermo Brown - Tristán Suárez	0:0
09.06.21	Tristán Suárez - Guillermo Brown	1:0

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