Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tristán Suárez		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.75	4.20	Watch
	2.10	2.75	3.90
	2.14	2.80	3.90	Watch
	2.21	2.82	4.29
	2.16	2.78	4.16	Watch
	2.15	2.75	4.15
	2.13	2.78	4.16	Watch
	2.07	2.70	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2)	2.77 ↓ (3.05)	4.1 (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
43.6%

Draw
33.6%

Nueva Chicago
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

30.6%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

32.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristán Suárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Tristán Suárez - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Guillen M. 2. Guzman M. 6. Baldi A. 3. Sanchez A. 5. Enrique M. 8. Del Priore N. (C) 7. Ramirez S. 10. Becker D. 11. Sanchez N. 9. Gallo A.	1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Vera M. 2. Zalazar R. E. (C) 6. Gissi D. 3. Carrizo E. 7. Ocampo T. 5. Gonzalez A. 8. Rogoski M. 10. Cardozo E. 9. Cocimano S. 11. Ambrogio L.
Substitutes
19. Alvarez M. 13. Aquino S. 20. Beron J. 18. Colli K. 15. Ferulano M. 16. Luayza M. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Molina A. 17. Noriega T.	19. Balbuena R. 17. Barros D. 18. Castro F. 12. Masuero F. (G) 20. Perez M. 15. Rodriguez T. 16. Roldan E. 14. Trindade G. 13. Velozo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Vera M. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
42', Sanchez N. 🟨,
43', Jachfe L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Becker D. ⚽, Sanchez N. (A),
60', Del Priore N. 🟨,
63', Cardozo E. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
63', Ambrogio L. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
65', Zalazar R. E. 🟨,
71', Becker D. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
71', Sanchez N. ↓, Colli K. ↑,
72', Sanchez A. ↓, Aquino S. ↑,
82', Carrizo E. ↓, Barros D. ↑,
82', Cocimano S. ↓, Balbuena R. ↑,
86', Gallo A. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
86', Ramirez S. ↓, Luayza M. ↑,
87', Colli K. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Tristán Suárez has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tristán Suárez is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Tristán Suárez - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.07.26	Temperley - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	Chacarita Juniors - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Tristán Suárez - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Patronato Parana - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWTT
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.07.26	Nueva Chicago - Güemes	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	4:0 ✺
13.06.26	Nueva Chicago - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Nueva Chicago - Temperley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	Nueva Chicago - Tristán Suárez	0:0
18.03.22	Tristán Suárez - Nueva Chicago	3:4

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