Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio 20 de Octubre (Tristan Suarez)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	Tristán Suárez		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.87	2.8	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.65
	2.8	2.8	2.63
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	2.98	2.89	2.76
	2.75	2.7	2.7
	2.82	2.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.39)	2.8 ↓ (2.83)	2.69 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristán Suárez
32.7%

Draw
33%

Defensores de Belgrano
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

33.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

33.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristán Suárez's form might have worsened.

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensores de Belgrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristán Suárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensores de Belgrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	80.8%	11.5%

Tristán Suárez - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Defensores will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 80.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 65.7% – 95.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 36 in the zone Relegation and 23).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 2.

Tristán Suárez is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tristán Suárez won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tristán Suárez won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.05.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
17.05.22	Deportivo Maipú - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
13.05.22	Godoy Cruz - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.05.22	Tristán Suárez - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Tristán Suárez - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLLW
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
15.05.22	Instituto Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
02.05.22	Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
25.04.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.11.21	Tristán Suárez - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
10.07.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Tristán Suárez	1:6
Argentinian Primera B
15.05.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Tristán Suárez	1:0
11.05.18	Tristán Suárez - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0
17.04.18	Tristán Suárez - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0
29.11.17	Defensores de Belgrano - Tristán Suárez	2:0
09.05.17	Tristán Suárez - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0

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