Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Tritones Vallarta		Faraones de Texcoco

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.39	3.1	2.8
	2.36	3.23	2.85
	2.36	3.26	2.8	Watch
	2.38	3	2.8
	2.57	3.29	2.67	Watch
	2.39	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.32)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.77 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tritones Vallarta
38%

Draw
29.1%

Faraones de Texcoco
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Faraones de Texcoco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Faraones de Texcoco than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tritones Vallarta - Faraones de Texcoco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Beltran M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', 2 - 0, Mungaray J. ⚽,
50', 2 - 1, Romario Hernandez Carrasco J. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
13.11.24	Tritones Vallarta - Agricultores de Guasave	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Leones Negros 2 - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
28.10.24	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tritones Vallarta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWL
- Faraones de Texcoco
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
08.11.24	Faraones de Texcoco - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Deportiva Venados - Faraones de Texcoco	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Racing de Veracruz - Faraones de Texcoco	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Faraones de Texcoco - Avispones de Chilpancingo	3:3 ✺
16.10.24	San Juan de Aragón - Faraones de Texcoco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWWTT

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