Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense (Trofa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Trofense		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.66
	5.25	3.9	1.52
	5.5	3.25	1.65
	4.9	3.75	1.59
	6.4	3.93	1.55
	5.5	3.6	1.6
	5.65	3.92	1.54	Watch
	5.2	3.9	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.35)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trofense
17.1%

Draw
24.8%

Famalicão
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

26.8%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

25.9%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Famalicão's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Trofense - Famalicão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Famalicão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Famalicão is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Trofense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.22	Trofense - Feirense	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Nacional - Trofense	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Trofense - Moreirense	0:3 ✺
04.09.22	Penafiel - Trofense	3:0 ✺
28.08.22	Oliveirense - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLT
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
10.10.22	Arouca - Famalicão	4:1 ✺
02.10.22	Famalicão - Boavista	4:0 ✺
18.09.22	Casa Pia - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Famalicão - Benfica	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Portimonense - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.16	Trofense - Famalicão	Canceled

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