Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 7

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Romssa Arena (Tromsø)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)


	Tromsø		Odd

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	4.2	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.2
	1.8	4	4.33	Watch
	1.83	4.18	4.25
	1.8	4.06	4.26
	1.7	3.75	4.2
	1.79	3.87	4.33	Watch
	1.73	3.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	3.95 ↓ (4.09)	4.25 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
53.7%

Draw
24%

Odd
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

21.8%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Odd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tromsø, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odd than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Tromsø - Odd Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Odd will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odd: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haugaard J. (G) 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 5. Jenssen A. 3. Robertsen J. 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 8. Antonsen K. 23. Norheim R. 15. Erlien V. 10. Romsaas J.	1. Hansen A. (C) 13. Skjeldal S. 14. Ivancevic M. 5. Miettinen T. 3. Baccay J. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Hussain E. 6. Svendsen T. 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 24. Njie B. 11. Tewelde F.
Substitutes
14. Barry M. T. 18. Johnsgard M. 25. Nilsen L. 9. Nordas L. 28. Psyche C. 12. Thomas S. (G) 30. Vadebu I. 7. Winther F.	18. Aas S. 29. Bang-Kittilsen B. 16. Glenna C. 30. Klausen P. (G) 9. Midtskogen O. 20. Rekdal T. 26. Skau J.
Coaches
Vik J.	Dokken K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Guddal T. ↓, Psyche C. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Jenssen R. ⚽, Erlien V. (A),
50', 2 - 0, Erlien V. ⚽, Jenssen A. (A),
61', Tewelde F. ↓, Bang-Kittilsen B. ↑,
62', Svendsen T. ↓, Midtskogen O. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Antonsen K. ⚽, Erlien V. (A),
71', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Winther F. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Norheim R. ⚽, Antonsen K. (A),
75', Romsaas J. ↓, Nordas L. ↑,
75', Antonsen K. ↓, Nilsen L. ↑,
75', Norheim R. ↓, Johnsgard M. ↑,
79', Ingebrigtsen M. ↓, Skau J. ↑,
79', Skjeldal S. ↓, Glenna C. ↑,
79', Njie B. ↓, Aas S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Tromsø have a series of guest games.

In this match Tromsø is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Tromsø won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.05.24	Viking Stavanger - Tromsø	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:0 ET ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Fløya - Tromsø	0:6 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Kristiansund - Tromsø	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL
- Odds BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.05.24	Odd - Fredrikstad	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Sandnes Ulf - Odd	5:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Odd - Viking Stavanger	3:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Pors - Odd	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Brann - Odd	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
12.11.23	Odd - Tromsø	1:2
07.05.23	Tromsø - Odd	0:1
15.10.22	Tromsø - Odd	3:2
03.04.22	Odd - Tromsø	2:0
27.10.21	Tromsø - Odd	2:0
24.06.21	Odd - Tromsø	3:0
Club Friendly
11.02.20	Tromsø - Odd	4:1

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