What is the expert prediction for Tromsø vs Fredrikstad?

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Tromsø vs Fredrikstad Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 15, 2026)

Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 1

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Romssa Arena (Tromsø)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Tromsø		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.65	5.35
	1.68	3.78	5.78
	1.66	3.77	5.44	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.68	3.73	5.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.87)	3.69 ↑ (3.54)	5.35 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
56.7%

Draw
25.7%

Fredrikstad
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tromsø's performance.

Fredrikstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tromsø will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tromsø will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haugaard J. (G) 2. Cornic L. 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 30. Vadebu I. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 5. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 7. Larsen L. O. 22. Larsen H.	77. Borsheim M. (G) 19. Ghebreyohannes F. 4. Holme F. 12. Fredriksen U. 28. Owusu S. (C) 13. Sorlokk S. 20. Ohlenschlaeger O. 6. Leach S. 21. Shein R. R. 9. Laghzaoui S. 23. Skogvold H.
Substitutes
9. Braut D. 15. Ekblom V. 24. Husebo J. 37. Innvaer S. 25. Kinteh A. S. 12. Lauvli O. (G) 27. Mikkelsen M. 92. Nois J. 10. Nyhammer T.	3. Andresen A. 15. Granaas E. 14. Nilsson M. 10. Nunez J. 1. Ovretveit O. (G) 24. Owusu L. 5. Rafn S.
Coaches
Vik J.	Hagen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Larsen H. ⚽,
21', Fredriksen U. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Laghzaoui S. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
57', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Owusu L. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. ⚽, Edvardsson D. (A),
69', Larsen H. ↓, Braut D. ↑,
69', Larsen L. O. ↓, Nyhammer T. ↑,
72', Fredriksen U. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. ⚽, Jenssen R. (A),
80', Shein R. R. ↓, Nilsson M. ↑,
80', Sorlokk S. ↓, Andresen A. ↑,
82', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Innvaer S. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Hjerto-Dahl J. ⚽, Jenssen R. (A),
87', Cornic L. ↓, Mikkelsen M. ↑,
87', Edvardsson D. ↓, Nois J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 3.

Tromsø has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fredrikstad is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fredrikstad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tromsø has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tromsø is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tromsø won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tromsø won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tromso	17	10	4	3	34:20	14	34
8	Fredrikstad	17	7	2	8	18:27	-9	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian NM Cup
07.03.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Tromsø	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.02.26	Tromsø - Lillestrøm SK	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Tromsø - Viking Stavanger	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Tromsø - Bryne	1:0 ✺
Atlantic Cup
30.01.26	Tromsø - Mjällby	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTWW
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian NM Cup
08.03.26	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.26	Aalesunds - Fredrikstad	2:3 ✺
17.02.26	Fredrikstad - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Toronto FC - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lillestrøm SK - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
02.08.25	Tromsø - Fredrikstad	0:0
29.06.25	Fredrikstad - Tromsø	0:1
29.05.24	Tromsø - Fredrikstad	3:0
25.05.24	Fredrikstad - Tromsø	0:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.10.14	Tromsø - Fredrikstad	1:0
06.04.14	Fredrikstad - Tromsø	0:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.08.12	Fredrikstad - Tromsø	2:0

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