Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Tromsø		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	9
	1.34	4.4	7.5
	1.35	4.8	7.5	Watch
	1.32	4.9	7.8
	1.36	5.29	8.51
	1.33	4.75	8.5
	1.33	5.25	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.37)	4.91 ↑ (4.91)	8.2 ↑ (7.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tromsø
69.7%

Draw
19%

Kongsvinger
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

19%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

10.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tromsø has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (-31.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tromsø that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongsvinger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	3.7%	11.1%

Tromsø - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: Tromsø will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Eliteserien and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Tromsø is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tromsø won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.11.20	Lillestrøm SK - Tromsø	3:0 ✺
28.10.20	Tromsø - Hamarkameratene	3:1 ✺
24.10.20	Stjørdals-Blink - Tromsø	4:2 ✺
17.10.20	Tromsø - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Sogndal - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTT
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.11.20	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	3:3 ✺
28.10.20	Øygarden - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Kongsvinger - Jerv	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Strømmen - Kongsvinger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.07.20	Kongsvinger - Tromsø	0:2
Norwegian NM Cup
20.06.19	Kongsvinger - Tromsø	1:0

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