Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 30

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Rovato Vertovese		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.44	3.31	2	Watch
	3.41	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.55)	3.25 (3.25)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rovato Vertovese
26.5%

Draw
27.9%

Desenzano Calvina
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.6%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

26.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rovato Vertovese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rovato Vertovese than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+3%)

Rovato Vertovese - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).

Rovato Vertovese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Desenzano is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rovato Vertovese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Desenzano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rovato Vertovese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rovato Vertovese
Italian Serie D - Group D
29.03.26	Crema - Rovato Vertovese	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Rovato Vertovese - Tropical Coriano	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Trevigliese - Rovato Vertovese	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rovato Vertovese - Pro Sesto	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Progresso - Rovato Vertovese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWTWT
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group D
22.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pro Sesto - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Desenzano Calvina - Crema	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	SantAngelo - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Desenzano Calvina - Trevigliese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
23.11.25	Desenzano Calvina - Rovato Vertovese	3:0

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