Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Troszyn

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.7	2.78
	2.27	3.88	2.46
	2.35	3.08	2.97	Watch
	2.21	3.7	2.66	Watch
	2	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2)	3.62 ↓ (3.88)	2.75 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
41.8%

Draw
25.2%

Troszyn
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

23.5%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

22.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Troszyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Elbląg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Olimpia Elbląg - Troszyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Winkler ⚽,
26', 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Elbląg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Troszyn's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elbląg could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.09.25	Legia II - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	ŁKS Łomża - Olimpia Elbląg	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Wasilków	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Wikielec - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT
- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.09.25	Troszyn - Warta Sieradz	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Wasilków - Troszyn	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Troszyn - Widzew Łódź II	6:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Troszyn	6:2 ✺
27.08.25	Troszyn - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLT

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