Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Troyes		Sochaux

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3	4.2
	2.02	3	4	Watch
	2.02	3	3.85
	2.08	3.12	4.3
	2.1	2.9	4.2	Watch
	2.06	3.05	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.8)	3.02 ↓ (3.11)	4.19 ↓ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
46.5%

Draw
31%

Sochaux
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

30.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

23.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Troyes's form might have worsened.

Sochaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sochaux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Troyes - Sochaux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1 and 7).

Troyes has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (52%), has a chance of win league (26%).

Sochaux has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Troyes is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Troyes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
08.01.21	Dunkerque - Troyes	0:0 ✺
05.01.21	Troyes - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
22.12.20	Grenoble - Troyes	2:0 ✺
18.12.20	Troyes - Niort	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Nancy - Troyes	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLWW
- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
08.01.21	Sochaux - Clermont	0:0 ✺
05.01.21	Sochaux - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
22.12.20	Caen - Sochaux	1:4 ✺
18.12.20	Sochaux - Grenoble	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	Pau - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
29.08.20	Sochaux - Troyes	2:1
30.11.19	Sochaux - Troyes	0:1
15.03.19	Sochaux - Troyes	0:0
19.10.18	Troyes - Sochaux	1:2
19.05.17	Sochaux - Troyes	2:3
29.07.16	Troyes - Sochaux	1:3
24.01.15	Troyes - Sochaux	2:0

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