Match Info

National League - Round 7

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Truro City		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.82	3.6	2.22
	2.84	3.85	2.27
	2.31	3.17	3.06	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.45
	2.87	3.48	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.2)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	2.39 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
34.4%

Draw
26.9%

Aldershot Town
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

26.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Truro City's performance.

Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldershot Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Truro City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldershot Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Truro City - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Truro will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Aldershot will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Truro (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Aldershot (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Truro City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Truro (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Aldershot (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stone A. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. 7. En-Neyah Y. 9. Harvey T. (C) 29. Kite H. 20. Law R. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 19. Pyke R. 8. Rooney D. 6. Sanders S.	1. Dewhurst M. (G) 30. Abrahams T. 10. Barrett J. 32. Clarridge J. 7. Hargreaves C. 19. Hill R. 25. Nightingale W. 15. Penney M. 28. Taylor A. 34. Tetek D. 9. Thomas K.
Substitutes
25. Donnellan S. 14. Hasani L. 15. Jephcott L. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 1. Lavercombe D. (G) 3. Riley-Lowe C. 23. Starkie B.	23. Ghandour H. 17. Henry J. 5. Jackson B. 11. Jones R. 16. Nash P. (G) 18. Rai K. 6. Widdrington T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Dewhurst M. 🟥,
43', Abrahams T. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 1, Thomas K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 🟨,
59', Nightingale W. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Law R. ⚽, Rooney D. (A),
68', Tetek D. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
68', Barrett J. ↓, Ghandour H. ↑,
75', Kite H. ↓, Jephcott L. ↑,
79', Penman C. 🟨,
80', Bell Z. ↓, Johnson-Fisher D. ↑,
82', Penman C. ↓, Jackson B. ↑,
82', Hill R. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Harvey T. ⚽,
88', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
90+2', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
90+5', Johnson-Fisher D. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Henry J. (Pen),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Truro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aldershot has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Truro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.94%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League
30.08.25	Truro City - Boston United	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Boreham Wood - Truro City	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Truro City - Southend United	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Tamworth - Truro City	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Truro City - York City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
30.08.25	Gateshead - Aldershot Town	3:3 ✺
25.08.25	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	4:0 ✺
23.08.25	Solihull Moors - Aldershot Town	1:5 ✺
20.08.25	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Aldershot Town - Boston United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWLL

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