Match Info

National League - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
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Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
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Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Truro City

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	6.25
	1.44	4.1	5.5
	1.39	4.65	6.7
	1.4	4.91	6.99
	1.01	17.84	25.00	Watch
	1.4	5.07	6.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.29)	6.93 ↑ (5.57)	9.46 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
75%

Draw
14.5%

Truro City
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.3%

16.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Truro City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Carlisle United - Truro City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Truro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 7. Ajiboye D. 29. Armstrong L. 2. Davies A. 18. Ellis J. 20. Gilliead A. 3. Harper C. 10. Linney R. 26. Mugabi B. 4. Thomas T. (C) 16. Wearne S.	24. Stone A. (G) 2. Bell Z. 4. Dean W. 25. Donnellan S. 7. En-Neyah Y. 9. Harvey T. (C) 29. Kite H. 20. Law R. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 19. Pyke R. 6. Sanders S.
Substitutes
24. Grant J. 6. Hayden A. 9. Kelly G. 25. Lewis H. (G) 11. Luamba J. 37. Macadam H. 8. Whelan C.	14. Hasani L. 15. Jephcott L. 11. Johnson-Fisher D. 21. Kinsey M. 1. Lavercombe D. (G) 3. Riley-Lowe C. 23. Starkie B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Armstrong L. ⚽, Wearne S. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Armstrong L. ⚽,
22', Ellis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Kite H. 🟨,
52', Bell Z. ↓, Johnson-Fisher D. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Linney R. ⚽, Armstrong L. (A),
61', Ajiboye D. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
61', Wearne S. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
62', Gilliead A. ↓, Macadam H. ↑,
66', Davies A. 🟨,
68', Jephcott L. ↓, Starkie B. ↑,
68', Kite H. ↓, Hasani L. ↑,
79', Ellis J. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
83', Linney R. 🟨,
84', Linney R. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
84', Donnellan S. ↓, Riley-Lowe C. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Carlisle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Truro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Carlisle is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
03.09.25	Brackley Town - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sutton United - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Carlisle United - Braintree Town	5:0 ✺
23.08.25	Wealdstone - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Carlisle United - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWT
- Truro City
English National League
03.09.25	Truro City - Aldershot Town	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Truro City - Boston United	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Boreham Wood - Truro City	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Truro City - Southend United	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Tamworth - Truro City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLL

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