Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Francisco Vasques (Belem)


	Tuna Luso Brasileira		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.9	2.6
	2.65	2.8	2.7
	2.83	3.05	2.56
	2.7	3.03	2.75	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9
	2.75	3.14	2.58
	2.65	2.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.05)	2.95 ↓ (3.25)	2.68 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuna Luso Brasileira
34.1%

Draw
31.4%

Sampaio Corrêa
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.8%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

29.4%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuna Luso Brasileira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucao (G) 7. Alves J. 3. Dede 11. Gabriel Furtado 4. Marlon 10. Pinheiro L. 5. Renan Metz 9. Sousa E. 8. Tiago Bagagem 2. Wander 6. Wesley Raizeman	32. Rhuan (G) 9. Alan James 10. Balao 5. Cavi 16. Dodo 17. Elivelton 4. Fabio Aguiar 13. Guilherme 8. Hudson 14. Ray 6. Thiago Rosa
Substitutes
23. Alvaro 14. Bruno Miranda 13. George 18. Gilvan . Guilherme 17. Luca Giovanella 19. Palhoca 16. Pedrinho 20. Randerson Fininho 22. Silva A. 12. Silva Carvalho P. H. (G) 15. Souza K.	7. Adriano 1. Alan (G) 3. Eduardo 20. Isaias 18. Lucas Guilherme 15. Lucas Kawan 11. Pimentinha 22. Rodolfo 19. Thiaguinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Cavi 🟨,
29', Wander 🟨,
31', Alves J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dodo ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
48', Renan Metz 🟨,
53', Guilherme 🟨,
60', Balao ↓, Adriano ↑,
65', Wander ↓, George ↑,
65', Renan Metz ↓, Souza K. ↑,
71', Ray ↓, Lucas Kawan ↑,
78', Alan James ↓, Lucas Guilherme ↑,
78', Elivelton ↓, Isaias ↑,
79', Tiago Bagagem ↓, Alvaro ↑,
80', Alves J. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
82', Alvaro 🟨,
84', 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Dede ⚽,
86', Pinheiro L. ↓, Bruno Miranda ↑,
86', Dede 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tuna Luso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
16.02.25	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Remo	0:3 ✺
01.02.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Cametá	3:0 ✺
28.01.25	Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Bragantino do Pará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLW
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
13.02.25	CS Alagoano - Sampaio Corrêa	4:0 ✺
04.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa - América RN	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Moto Club de São Luís	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Pinheiro	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.01.25	Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTWL

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Sampaio Corrêa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide