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Current Win Probability
Turan Turkistan 24%
Draw 28%
Tobol Kostanay 48%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
22.9%
59.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.5%
22.3%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Turan Turkistan's performance.
Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Turan Turkistan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Turan Turkistan - Tobol Kostanay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Khatkevich E. (G) 2. Abdumazhidov O. 20. Milojko G. 77. Mukhtarov K. 17. Nurymbet A. 44. Pajovic J. 71. Sovpel V. 22. Stasevich I. 7. Umarov S. 6. Yudenkov R. 9. Zhumabek A. (C)
1. Busurmanov S. (G) 3. Asrankulov R. (C) 11. Chesnokov I. 10. El Messaoudi A. 23. Erlanov T. 77. Henen D. 55. Miladinovic I. 18. Tagybergen A. 16. Victor Braga 27. Zhagorov N. 7. Zhumashev Z.
Substitutes
89. Dorofeev K. 24. Duysenbekuly K. 27. Mukhammetzhanuly M. (G) 19. Sarsenbay E. 5. Satyshev A. 11. Toybekov E. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 15. Zgurskiy L.
38. Bakitzhanov A. 6. Ededem E. 8. Galym B. 22. Kalmyrza M. 35. Melikhov Y. (G) 13. Mosiashvili T. 5. Ndiaye P. 14. Signevich N. 21. Tsonev R. 44. Ustimenko D. (G) 15. Vukcevic M. 17. Zuev A.
Coaches
Zhukovskiy V.
Zhumaskaliyev N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Mukhtarov K. 🟨,
14', Victor Braga 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Chesnokov I. ⚽, Henen D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Asrankulov R. 🟨,
64', Henen D. 🟨,
66', Henen D. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Zuev A. ⚽, El Messaoudi A. (A),
78', Umarov S. ↓, Dorofeev K. ↑,
78', Sovpel V. ↓, Zgurskiy L. ↑,
82', Milojko G. ↓, Duysenbekuly K. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Duysenbekuly K. ⚽, Stasevich I. (A),
87', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Mosiashvili T. ↑,
88', Tagybergen A. ↓, Vukcevic M. ↑,
90+4', Zhumashev Z. ↓, Kalmyrza M. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 0.
Turan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tobol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Turan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tobol is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Turan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.6:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
Kazakhstan
World
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Khatkevich E. (G) 
Abdumazhidov O. 
Milojko G. 
Nurymbet A. 
El Messaoudi A. 
Henen D. 
Miladinovic I. 
Victor Braga 
Dorofeev K. 
Ededem E. 
Mosiashvili T. 
Ndiaye P. 
Tsonev R. 
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