Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Turkestan Arena (Turkestan)


	Turan Turkistan		Ulytau

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.35
	3	3.1	2.28
	2.65	3.23	2.42
	3.24	2.9	2.44	Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.65)	3.02 ↑ (2.78)	2.45 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turan Turkistan
32.4%

Draw
30.3%

Ulytau
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ulytau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulytau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Turan Turkistan - Ulytau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Turan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goshev E. (G) 21. Abdulla A. 7. Abzalov S. 77. Askarov M. 6. Darabaev A. 24. Duysenbekuly K. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 15. Orynbassar R. 22. Pertsukh Y. 25. Sapanov M. 88. Solodovnicov N.	1. Nepogodov D. (G) 28. Bugulov G. 19. Carrillo J. 4. Chalkin M. 3. Keiler S. 7. Kishi K. 9. Mitrofanov D. 12. Nursultanov K. 5. Slambekov D. 10. Taubay A. 11. Yusov D.
Substitutes
11. Abbas A. 5. Asan A. 17. Bakirov S. 71. Chirkov R. 30. Ignatov D. 28. Khadzhiev A. 8. Kuralbaev E. 19. Sarsenbay E. 16. Tokmagambetov D. (G) 48. Trifunovic V. 29. Zulfikarov A. 9. Zulfikarov B.	15. Daniyarov B. 72. Maulenov D. 17. Moldakaraev Z. 23. Pajovic J. 35. Pavlov S. (G) 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 6. Terekhov Y. 8. Vachiberadze B.
Coaches
Poklonskyi O.	Mazbaev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Abzalov S. 🟨,
32', Carrillo J. ↓, Daniyarov B. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Kishi K. ⚽, Nursultanov K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chalkin M. ↓, Pajovic J. ↑,
49', Solodovnicov N. 🟨,
62', Mitrofanov D. 🟨,
64', Mitrofanov D. ↓, Moldakaraev Z. ↑,
64', Nursultanov K. ↓, Vachiberadze B. ↑,
66', Abdulla A. ↓, Trifunovic V. ↑,
70', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Chirkov R. ↑,
74', Daniyarov B. 🟨,
78', Solodovnicov N. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
78', Pertsukh Y. ↓, Ignatov D. ↑,
79', Abzalov S. ↓, Khadzhiev A. ↑,
80', Khadzhiev A. 🟨,
84', Taubay A. ↓, Terekhov Y. ↑,
89', Ignatov D. 🟨,
90+6', Moldakaraev Z. 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 1, Zulfikarov B. (Pen),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 12).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Turan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh Premier League
23.08.25	Tobol Kostanay - Turan Turkistan	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Turan Turkistan - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Atyrau - Turan Turkistan	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Zhetysu - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Turan Turkistan - Ordabasy	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTLL
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
24.08.25	Ulytau - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Astana - Ulytau	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Ulytau - Kyzylzhar	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Kairat - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Okzhetpes - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
31.05.25	Ulytau - Turan Turkistan	2:1

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