Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kairat		Ulytau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.60	7.50
	1.27	4.95	8.4	Watch
	1.27	5.14	9.68
	1.34	4.74	7.57	Watch
	1.24	5.15	9.9
	1.3	5.69	8.14	Watch
	1.32	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	4.97 ↑ (4.54)	8.34 ↑ (7.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
70.6%

Draw
18.4%

Ulytau
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.5%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19.8%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kairat - Ulytau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (C) 24. Mrynskiy A. 8. Baybek O. 25. Shirobokov A. 5. Kurgin L. 22. Mendonsa G. 13. Oksanen J. 19. Jukkola O. 28. Gual M. 3. Mata L. 9. Edmilson	1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 9. Serikkul R. 25. Bukhal G. (C) 12. Afanasenko V. 14. Harada H. 90. Martin D. 18. Bougnone A. 8. Vachiberadze B. 7. Kishi K. 22. Chernyak I.
Substitutes
27. Abish M. 81. Bekbolat I. 30. Buch D. (G) 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 32. Nurgaliev A. 6. Sadybekov A. 20. Tapalov E. 17. Tuyakbaev A.	13. Akhmedov A. 28. Bugulov G. 4. Chalkin M. 17. Daniyarov B. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 6. Nursultanov K. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 11. Smith A. 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G)
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Mazbaev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Edmilson ⚽, Gual M. (A),
44', Carmona Sierra D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Jukkola O. ⚽, Mendonsa G. (A),
59', Edmilson 🟨,
64', Harada H. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
70', Edmilson ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
70', Baybek O. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
72', Gual M. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Tuyakbaev A. ⚽,
76', Bougnone A. ↓, Nursultanov K. ↑,
76', Carmona Sierra D. ↓, Akhmedov A. ↑,
80', Oksanen J. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
80', Mrynskiy A. ↓, Nurgaliev A. ↑,
81', Nursultanov K. 🟨,
84', Shirobokov A. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
87', Serikkul R. ↓, Maulenov D. ↑,
87', Kishi K. ↓, Nurali O. ↑,
88', Nurgaliev A. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 1, Chernyak I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Kairat is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kairat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Kairat - Levski Sofia	0:1 ✺
04.08.26	Levski Sofia - Kairat	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Kairat - Omonia	2:0 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.26	Kairat - Ordabasy	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.26	Omonia - Kairat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWL
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
08.08.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ulytau - Astana	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ulytau - Ertis Pavlodar	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Ulytau - Kairat	1:1
02.08.25	Kairat - Ulytau	1:0
03.05.25	Ulytau - Kairat	1:4

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