Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Žetisu Stadion (Taldykorgan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Zhetysu		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.52	3.8	5.9	Watch
	1.48	3.97	6.2
	1.55	3.65	6.24	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.6
	1.54	3.84	6.55
	1.6	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.52)	5.48 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetysu
57.9%

Draw
25.5%

Turan Turkistan
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

26.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

20.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetysu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhetysu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Turan Turkistan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zhetysu - Turan Turkistan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhetysu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Zhetysu (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhetysu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Kavlinov D. (G) 98. Anuarbekov N. 95. Buya Turay M. 9. Fofanah S. 22. Karimov R. 55. Karwot M. 4. Kashken D. 14. Mukhametkhanov Z. 15. Schmidt D. 19. Serikkul R. 23. Shaykhov B. (C)	1. Goshev E. (G) 7. Abzalov S. 5. Asan A. 4. Cermelj L. 71. Chirkov R. 6. Darabaev A. (C) 24. Duysenbekuly K. 8. Kuralbaev E. 15. Orynbassar R. 22. Pertsukh Y. 9. Zulfikarov B.
Substitutes
6. Akhmedov A. 93. Askarov S. 11. Chochiev A. 1. Egorov A. (G) 17. Esimbekov D. 31. Golubnichiy M. (G) 5. Kovel M. 73. Kurmanakhan Y. 80. Moldagaliev A. 7. Nurbol N. 77. Orynbasar D. 10. Takulov S.	11. Abbas A. 21. Abdulla A. 77. Askarov M. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 25. Sapanov M. 16. Tokmagambetov D. (G) 48. Trifunovic V. 10. Usipkhanov R. 29. Zulfikarov A.
Coaches
Smakov S.	Buribaev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Kashken D. 🟨,
41', Shaykhov B. 🟨,
44', Abzalov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Kuralbaev E. 🟨,
59', Karimov R. ↓, Orynbasar D. ↑,
59', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Esimbekov D. ↑,
63', Anuarbekov N. 🟨,
70', Serikkul R. ↓, Takulov S. ↑,
77', Pertsukh Y. ↓, Nazymkhanov A. ↑,
80', Schmidt D. 🟨,
81', Cermelj L. 🟨,
82', Abzalov S. ↓, Trifunovic V. ↑,
87', Asan A. 🟥,
90+1', Chirkov R. ↓, Zulfikarov A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Kashken D. ⚽,
90+7', Zulfikarov B. 🟨,
90+7', Zulfikarov A. 🟨,
90+8', Kavlinov D. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 1.

Zhetysu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Turan is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zhetysu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zhetysu is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhetysu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhetysu
Kazakh Premier League
26.07.25	Yelimay Semey - Zhetysu	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	Zhetysu - Ordabasy	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Zhenis - Zhetysu	3:1 ✺
06.07.25	Zhetysu - Astana	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Ulytau - Zhetysu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLLW
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh Premier League
27.07.25	Turan Turkistan - Ordabasy	0:4 ✺
18.07.25	Astana - Turan Turkistan	7:0 ✺
12.07.25	Turan Turkistan - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Kairat - Turan Turkistan	4:0 ✺
29.06.25	Turan Turkistan - Aktobe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
03.05.25	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	0:0
01.09.24	Zhetysu - Turan Turkistan	0:0
11.05.24	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	2:3
Kazakh Cup
14.08.22	Zhetysu - Turan Turkistan	0:0
17.07.22	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	3:0
14.08.21	Zhetysu - Turan Turkistan	1:0
18.07.21	Turan Turkistan - Zhetysu	0:2

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