Match Info

Premier League - Round 15

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Zhezqazghan)

Referee: Sakhi D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Ulytau		Ordabasy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	3.60	1.52
	4.35	3.45	1.61	Watch
	5.65	3.94	1.55
	4.56	3.64	1.69	Watch
	5.50	3.40	1.50
	5.94	3.51	1.62	Watch
	5.40	3.75	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.25)	3.61 ↓ (3.75)	1.58 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulytau
17.3%

Draw
25.1%

Ordabasy
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

24.5%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

24.8%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ulytau - Ordabasy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ordabasy will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nepogodov D. (G) 12. Afanasenko V. 28. Bugulov G. 25. Bukhal G. 3. Keiler S. (C) 8. Vachiberadze B. 6. Nursultanov K. 14. Harada H. 22. Chernyak I. 11. Smith A. 7. Kishi K.	1. Shayzada B. (G) 3. Kilama G. 11. Vakulko Y. 55. Amanovic A. (C) 10. Astanov E. 77. Abagna D. 16. Capatina M. 5. Antic N. 28. Johnsen B. 19. Leo Natel 9. Everton
Substitutes
18. Bougnone A. 2. Carmona Sierra D. 17. Daniyarov B. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 9. Serikkul R. 77. Shauymbay M. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 45. Zulfikarov B.	24. Abdukhalyk A. (G) 15. Amir Z. 44. Keita T. 23. Nurymbet A. 27. Serik N. 17. Sultaniyazov Z. 20. Toktybay M. 13. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Turganov A. 8. Zhaksybaev U.
Coaches
Mazbaev N.	Martin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Everton 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Johnsen B. ⚽, Vakulko Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Everton ↓, Amir Z. ↑,
59', Nursultanov K. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
64', Leo Natel ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
72', Johnsen B. ↓, Nurymbet A. ↑,
75', Afanasenko V. ↓, Carmona Sierra D. ↑,
75', Kishi K. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
77', Astanov E. ↓, Keita T. ↑,
82', Chernyak I. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
83', Vachiberadze B. ↓, Daniyarov B. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Ulytau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ordabasy is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Ordabasy is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ulytau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ulytau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Ordabasy: 69.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	51:18	33	61
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
20.06.26	Kaisar - Ulytau	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Ulytau - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Astana - Ulytau	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ulytau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWTLW
- FC Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League
20.06.26	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Ordabasy	1:3 ✺
28.05.26	Ordabasy - Kairat	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ordabasy	0:3 ✺
17.05.26	Ordabasy - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
24.08.25	Ulytau - Ordabasy	2:1
24.05.25	Ordabasy - Ulytau	0:1

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